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#Somaliland

6 posts5 participants0 posts today
Public
Saxafi Media

Samiya Mohammed's analysis deconstructs the narrative around the #Ethiopia-#Somaliland #MaritimeDeal. It argues Ethiopia's pursuit of #maritime access is a strategic, legally sound move, not a capitulation to international pressure. #Geopolitics

saxafimedia.com/strategic-rati

The Strategic Rationale Behind The Ethiopia-Somaliland Maritime Agreement
SaxafiMedia · The Strategic Rationale Behind The Ethiopia-Somaliland Maritime Agreement | Saxafi MediaThe recent proclamations by the former President of Somaliland, Muse Bihi, aired through the Somal Chronicle interview, proffer a narrative that demands intellectual deconstruction. His characterization of Ethiopia as being overpowered and consequently checkmated by international coalitions constitutes an oversimplification, a reductionist fallacy that obfuscates the intricate and interwoven geopolitics in the Horn of Africa.
Public
Saxafi Media

#Somaliland faces a growing threat as #Egypt & #Somalia align to undermine its #Statehood. A secret plan to fracture the #HornOfAfrica involves intelligence ops & military posturing, risking regional stability. Intelligence indicates Maj. Gen. Radwan is redeploying #Egyptian-trained units to #LasAnod to establish #Somalia's new administration within #Somaliland's territories, risking Somaliland's #Sovereignty & escalating military tensions. #Geopolitics

saxafimedia.com/unrecognized-n

The Unrecognized Nation’s Stand, Against Egyptian Generals and Somali Ambitions
SaxafiMedia · The Unrecognized Nation's Resistance: Confronting Egyptian Generals And Somali AspirationsHere in the Horn of Africa, one where knights wear military fatigues, bishops issue diplomatic threats, not on felt lined tables but along the dusty frontlines of Las Anod. Egypt, in alliance with Somalia’s federal government, is moving to open a new front aimed at strangling Somaliland’s three decade quest for statehood. What one sees is a sophisticated proxy war where intelligence operations, military posturing, and diplomatic warfare converge in action that may redefine the making of power in the Horn of Africa.
Public
MissConstrue

The Wall Street Journal, no fan of Palestine, and big fan of Dollar General Palpatine, reports:

#Israel and the U.S. are pushing forward efforts to relocate hundreds of thousands of #Palestinians from the #Gaza Strip. #Israeli officials have pitched the idea to half a dozen countries and territories including #Libya, #SouthSudan, #Somaliland and #Syria. Israel and the U.S. have also been pressing #Egypt to resettle people from the enclave in the Sinai Peninsula. (Egypt and Syria have told the US to fuck off with that ethnic cleansing nonsense.)

Israeli officials have long advocated transferring Palestinians out of Gaza. Gila Gamliel, presented the cabinet with a plan to promote migration from Gaza with the goal of getting 1.7 million to leave. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvirs said, “We are giving you the option to leave... The land of Israel is ours.”

Forcible displacement is a crime under the Geneva Conventions.

Public
MissConstrue

The Boston Consulting Group (#BCG) modelled plans to relocate Palestinians from #Gaza to #Somalia and #Somaliland, on behalf of #Israeli businessmen looking to redevelop the enclave.

The list also included Egypt, United Arab Emirates and Jordan.

The modelling grew out of BCG's work helping to set up the US-backed Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF), which has been widely criticised for the enormous number of people killed at its aid delivery sites.

A slide deck associated with the plan reportedly envisaged that 25 percent of Palestinians in Gaza would decide to relocate outside the enclave, with a majority not returning.

It was reported that BCG - which counts Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu among its alumni - became involved with #GHF when the US security contractor Orbis engaged the firm to help with a feasibility study for a new aid operation.

middleeasteye.net/news/bcg-mod

The fires of vengeance burn bright.

Middle East EyeBoston Consulting Group modelled plan to 'relocate Palestinians' from Gaza to SomaliaBCG had acted on behalf of Israeli businessmen who want to redevelop the territory once Palestinians have been expelled
Public
Voice of East

Somaliland’s Critical Minerals Offer To The US Might Move The Needle In Favour Of Recognition

Somaliland’s Critical Minerals Offer To The US Might Move The Needle In Favour Of Recognition

By Andrew Korybko

This proposal could pique Trump 2.0’s attention and ultimately catalyse a regional US pivot.

Bloomberg published an update late last month about Somaliland’s long-running quest for American recognition of its 1991 redeclaration of independence. Apart from offering to host a US military base, which isn’t anything new, it’s now offering a critical minerals deal too. This aligns with the global trend of countries from Pakistan to Ukraine and the Democratic Republic of the Congo leveraging their (in some cases only alleged) reserves of this resource as a means of securing continued US support.

Although Bloomberg noted that the State Department reaffirmed the US’ existing policy of “One Somalia”, the possibility remains that this could change depending on the region’s evolving dynamics. As regards Somalia, The Economist recently published a report about how “[its] state-building project is in tatters” after new terrorist gains and intensified regional centrifugal forces. Trump 2.0 might thus prefer to abandon Somalia in favour of pivoting towards more stable and prosperous Somaliland instead.

Any such decision would risk offending “Major Non-NATO Ally” Egypt, who Trump at first supported over Ethiopia amidst their Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) dispute, given that Somalia relied on Egypt (and Eritrea) all across the last year as a “counterbalance” to Ethiopia. The context was Ethiopia’s (currently unfulfilled) MoU with Somaliland over recognition of its independence and stakes in at least one state company in exchange for a port of its own to diversify from dependence on Djibouti’s.

Ethiopia and Somalia then entered into a rapprochement earlier this year brought about by Turkish mediation, but reports circulated in early July that their talks had since stalled. Later last month, another report emerged that “Egypt Rejected The Price That It Has To Pay For The US Siding Against Ethiopia”, which was allegedly supporting Israel’s Gazan relocation plan and maybe even eventually hosting many, if not all, Gazans too. That created an opening for Ethiopia to engage in creative diplomacy with the US.

This could take the form of not ruling out participation in Israel’s Gazan relocation plan, per a recent Axios report and unlike what Egypt supposedly just did, though conditional on foreign funding of these refugees’ stay and only in the event that others (especially Muslim-majority states) take them in too. By keeping the US’ attention and thus signalling by contrast that it’s a more reliable regional partner than Egypt, Ethiopia might then suggest facilitating a deal with Somaliland, which could take a similar form.

Instead of the US unilaterally recognizing Somaliland, this could be coordinated with Ethiopia, all three’s shared Emirati partner, and India. The latter’s inclusion would satisfy its reported search for a regional naval base while crafting the symbolic optics of both the world’s oldest democracy (the US) and its largest one (India) simultaneously recognizing what would in that scenario be the world’s newest democracy. Ethiopia could sweeten the deal by proposing its own critical minerals deal with the US too.

These benefits – a military base in Somaliland, critical minerals deals with it and Ethiopia, and an Abraham Accords-like multilateral framework for Somaliland with the UAE, India, and then likely others too – could convince Trump to replace Egypt with Ethiopia and Somaliland as the US’ top regional partners. He might already be offended by Egypt outright rejecting the US’ reported Gaza-GERD quid pro quo so it’s possible that he’d be receptive to this deal if Ethiopia and Somaliland play their cards right.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.

7 Courses in 1 – Diploma in Business Management

#Africa#Congo#criticalMinerals
Public
Saxafi Media

FM Ali Balcad of @TheVillaSomalia falsely claims #Somaliland is a region of #Somalia, ignoring its 34 years of independent governance. SL remains committed to self-governance despite SO's instability & external pressures from #Qatar, #China, #Egypt & #Turkey.

saxafimedia.com/foreign-state-

SaxafiMedia · Foreign State Minister Of Villa Somalia’s Recent Statement | Saxafi MediaThis article, “Foreign State Minister of Villa Somalia’s Recent Statement,” written by Engineer Abdi Ali Barkhad, criticizes a statement made by the Foreign State Minister of Villa Somalia (Somalia) claiming Somaliland is merely a region of Somalia and warning foreign nations against intervening in Somalia's internal affairs.
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